Tag Archives: earthquakes

Famous Eruptions – Introduction

All good books on volcanoes describe well-known eruptions, including Vesuvius 79 AD, Tambora 1815, Krakatau 1883, Mount Peleé 1902, Katla 1918, Mount St. Helens 1980, Pinatubo 1991.  Who are we to be any different?

There is a good reason for this. Most famous eruptions are large and explosive, causing loss of life and considerable property damage – in other words, headline-grabbing.   Later eruptions have impacted aviation – volcanic ash and jet engines are not a good mix; airports near erupting volcanoes are closed and flights re-routed to avoid the ash clouds. 

Catastrophic events are the reason volcanology is such an important subject. Understanding these and other eruptions is important to find out how to minimise the risk; i.e. reduce loss of life.

Researchers have shown that volcanoes usually very kindly give us some warning in the lead up to an eruption.  Magma is viscous, rarely moves fast and, when moving, causes earthquakes, usually small, but some are felt without equipment.  As magma ascends, degassing starts to occur, some of which is detectable at the surface.  Rising magma also causes ground deformation, e.g.  it causes the volcano to inflate, measurable by tilt-meters and GPS, and some of which may even be visible to the naked eye (Mount St Helens). 

I read somewhere that the first piece of equipment required to monitor a volcano is a seismometer, the second is another seismometer, as is the third; earthquakes are often the first sign of impending trouble (if I can remember / find the source, I will accredit it properly). Scientists observing volcanoes will have a raft of equipment in place: seismometers, GPS stations, tilt-meters and gas monitoring; satellite monitoring may also detect ground deformation.  Drones may be used to inspect craters which are not readily accessible or where it would be unsafe to visit. Our maps of Iceland include some GPS stations as markers to indicate where the earthquakes are occurring but still evidence that Iceland has several in place at its active volcanoes.

Given that volcanoes give some warning, why are people killed?  Unfortunately, magma ascent and the build up to an eruption is a slow process with many stops and starts.  A major eruption may be preceded by a few small throat clearing events before the volcano unleashes the main eruption. An evacuation may take place, but if it is quiet between the precursors and the main event, people may think that the volcano has finished and return home to be at ground zero at the wrong time, irrespective of whether or not any alert is in place. People living close to volcanoes tend to be farmers with strong bonds to both their land and livestock. On the other hand, the volcano may not behave as expected – e.g. a phreatic eruption or edifice failure.  Volcano hazard assessment is an interesting topic for future posts.

We will also look at some of the more famous eruptions over the coming weeks.

We’ve already touched a bit on Katla (The Katla Volcanic System, Myrdaksjökull – the not so cuddly Katla) and Mount St Helens (Mount St Helens – 18 May 1980 Eruption) so we’ll carry on by looking at Tambora’s 1815 eruption (Tambora 1815).

The Armchair Volcanologist

7 July 2020

A Quick Update on Activity on the Reykjanes Peninsula

Good Afternoon!

The earthquake swarm which started in December 2019 is continuing, let’s have a quick update on the stats.

Statistics

There have been 19,675 earthquakes in the Reykjanes Peninsula area 64.4°N, 23.0°W to 63.7°N, 21.0°W for the period 1 Jan 2016 to 14 June 2020, of which 14,258 (72%) have occurred in the last six months, most associated with the swarm near Svartsengi.

Fig 1: Statistics for the earthquake swarm to date by the author.  Month from start refers to the start of our data extraction (January 2016). © Copyright remains with the author; all rights reserved, 2020.

Seismic Activity

Our updated scatter plots show that there is more shallow small earthquake activity above the lithosphere than in our earlier plots. 

Fig 2: Latitude v Longitude geoscatter plot and depth plot for earthquake activity in the vicinity of Svartsengi 1/01/2016 to 14/06/2020 by the author.  Green dots denote earthquakes <2M; yellow dots, earthquakes greater than or equal 2.0M and less than 3.0M; red stars, greater than or equal to 3M.  © Copyright remains with the author; all rights reserved, 2020

Geodensity Plots

The geodensity plots for months 48 (December 2019) onwards (Figs 3.1 and 3.2) show that the most intense action started to the east of Mt Thorbjörn and has migrated west to Svartsengi and beyond.

Fig 3.1 Geodensity plots: top row months 48 and 49 (December 2019 and January 2020); bottom row month 50 and 51 (February 2020 March 2020) by the author. Note that the colour intensity is calculated based on the data set for the specified month. © Copyright remains with the author; all rights reserved, 2020
Fig 3.2 Geodensity plots: top row months 52 and 53 (April 2020 and May 2020); bottom row month 54 (June 2020, to 14/06/2020) by the author. Note that the colour intensity is calculated based on the data set for the specified month.  © Copyright remains with the author; all rights reserved, 2020.

Uplift

IMO has confirmed that uplift has resumed in the vicinity of Mount Þorbjörn.  Ground deformation is clearly visible on the GPS plots.

Fig 4: Uplift in the vicinity of Mt Þorbjörn as shown in recent GPS plots published by IMO: GPS Þorbjörn. THOB moved south eastwards, SENG moved north eastwards and ELDC moved westward; all showed uplift.

Summary

We are still looking at an unusually large swarm, accompanied by continued uplift in the vicinity of Mt Þorbjörn.

At the time of writing, there has been no change in the uncertainty phase declared by Icelandic Civil Protection .

The Armchair Volcanologist

15 June 2020

Sources:

Raw earthquake data and GPS plots downloaded from the Icelandic Met Office: https://en.vedur.is

Earthquake plots are the author’s own work.

© Copyright remains with the author; all rights reserved, 2020